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RBA poised, China tech booms, Japan GDP sizzles – Feb 18 2025

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Index Last Change % Change
trading lower

44,546.08 -165.35 0.37%Negative
trading higher

20,026.77 +81.13 0.41%Positive
trading lower

6,114.63 -0.44 0.01%Negative
Index Last Change % Change
trading higher

39,266.52 +92.27 0.24%Positive
unchanged

22,616.23
trading higher

75,996.86 +57.65 0.08%Positive

Source: LSEG, opens new tab – data delayed by at least 15 minutes

RBA expected quarter-point cut to its cash rate to 4.10%, its first reduction in over four years.
Recent inflation and wage growth data have surprised to the upside, but BOJ cautious about raising rates after decades of deflation and ultra-loose policy. 2-year and 10-year JGB yields highest since 2008 and have risen sharply in recent months.
Chinese markets rebound continue, tech shares hitting 3-year high on Monday as President Xi  sat down with top tech leaders in Beijing. Hang Seng tech index is up more than 30% in a month. Baidu shares plunged on Monday, wiping $2.4 billion off its market value after its founder was not spotted at the meeting.

Geopolitical developments around America’s ties with Europe and President Trump’s role in brokering a truce between Ukraine and Russia.
Any peace deal – may boost risk appetite, and weigh on USD and oil in short term. But the wider implications of a fracturing of 80 years of solid U.S.-European relations since WWII could raise risk premia across markets in the long term.

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